G4 1785 · FLL → ABE

took off 12:34 PM ET · landed 2:53 PM ET (scheduled 11:23 AM ET → 2:12 PM ET)

Forecast issued Sun 10:00 PM ET · 11h after departure

Arrive at ABE more than 15 minutes late?

Late chance · ±0 pts −10 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late did it get to ABE?

RESOLVED

On time or early
–
15–30 min late
–
30 min–1 hour late
✓
1–2 hours late
–
Over 2 hours late
–

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Gusts to 25 kt, cloud base down to 500 ft, visibility down to 0.8 mi, 1.4 in of rain forecast at ABE that day

↑ G4's recent on-time record

↑ This flight has been late 42% of the time recently

↓ Arrivals into ABE at that hour are usually not late

↓ ABE usually runs smoothly

Weather at each end

FLL (origin) Gusts13 kt Ceiling3,000 ft Visibility4 mi Precip1.18 in

ABE (destination) Gusts13 kt Ceiling600 ft Visibility4 mi Precip1.52 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

G4 1785 · FLL → ABE

Odds over time

How late did it get to ABE?