Schedule: the flights that flew on Sunday, Oct 4, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

ALLEGIANT · FLIGHT G4 1858 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Sunday, October 11 Yesterday

G4 1858 · FLL → AVL

departs 7:49 PM ET · arrives 9:52 PM ET

Forecast issued Sun 10:00 PM ET · 2h after departure

Arrive at AVL more than 15 minutes late?

42% chance · ±2 pts +1 pt · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late will it get to AVL?

On time or early
57%
15–30 min late
4%
30 min–1 hour late
16%
1–2 hours late
17%
Over 2 hours late
5%
Cancelled
2%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ This flight has been late 28% of the time recently

↑ G4's recent on-time record

↑ 7pm departures from FLL are often late

↓ Sundays in October are usually quieter than average

↓ AVL usually runs smoothly

Weather at each end

FLL (origin) Gusts13 kt Ceiling3,000 ft Visibility4 mi Precip1.18 in

AVL (destination) Gusts19 kt Ceiling500 ft Visibility0.75 mi Precip1.47 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

G4 1858 · FLL → AVL

Odds over time

How late will it get to AVL?