Schedule: the flights that flew on Sunday, Oct 4, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
ALLEGIANT · FLIGHT G4 1871
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Sunday, October 11 Yesterday
G4 1871 · AVL → FLL
departs 12:38 PM ET · arrives 2:43 PM ET
Forecast issued Sun 10:00 PM ET · 9h after departure
Watch this flight
Odds over time
Arrive at FLL more than 15 minutes late?
28%
chance · ±0 pts
−6 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.
Arrive 15+ late
28%
Leave 15+ late
28%
Arrive 1h+ late
15%
Cancelled
2%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
6.5d
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at FLL more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 28% · changed −6 pts in 24h
−6 pts
28%
Yes 28%
No 72%
Leave AVL more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 28% · changed −2 pts in 24h
−2 pts
28%
Yes 28%
No 72%
Arrive at FLL more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 15% · changed −6 pts in 24h
−6 pts
15%
Yes 15%
No 85%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: 2% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
2%
Yes 2%
No 98%
How late will it get to FLL?
On time or early
71%
15–30 min late
5%
30 min–1 hour late
8%
1–2 hours late
10%
Over 2 hours late
5%
Cancelled
2%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
G4's recent on-time record
↑
FLL is prone to delays
↑
This flight has been late 17% of the time recently
↓
AVL usually runs smoothly
↓
Sundays in October are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
AVL (origin)
Gusts 19 kt Ceiling 500 ft Visibility 0.75 mi Precip 1.47 in
FLL (destination)
Gusts 13 kt Ceiling 3,000 ft Visibility 4 mi Precip 1.18 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.