Schedule: the flights that flew on Sunday, Oct 4, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
ALLEGIANT · FLIGHT G4 1879
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Sunday, October 11 Yesterday
G4 1879 · AVL → FLL
departs 5:01 PM ET · arrives 7:06 PM ET
Forecast issued Sun 10:00 PM ET · 5h after departure
Watch this flight
Odds over time
Arrive at FLL more than 15 minutes late?
50%
chance · ±0 pts
+0 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.
Arrive 15+ late
50%
Leave 15+ late
51%
Arrive 1h+ late
33%
Cancelled
2%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
25%
50%
75%
100%
6.7d
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at FLL more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 50% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
50%
Yes 50%
No 50%
Leave AVL more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 51% · changed +4 pts in 24h
+4 pts
51%
Yes 51%
No 49%
Arrive at FLL more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 33% · changed +3 pts in 24h
+3 pts
33%
Yes 33%
No 67%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: 2% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
2%
Yes 2%
No 98%
How late will it get to FLL?
On time or early
49%
15–30 min late
10%
30 min–1 hour late
6%
1–2 hours late
24%
Over 2 hours late
8%
Cancelled
2%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
G4's recent on-time record
↑
Arrivals into FLL at that hour are often late
↑
FLL is prone to delays
↓
Sundays in October are usually quieter than average
↓
AVL usually runs smoothly
Weather at each end
AVL (origin)
Gusts 19 kt Ceiling 500 ft Visibility 0.75 mi Precip 1.47 in
FLL (destination)
Gusts 13 kt Ceiling 3,000 ft Visibility 4 mi Precip 1.18 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.