Schedule: the flights that flew on Sunday, Oct 4, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
ALLEGIANT · FLIGHT G4 2115
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Sunday, October 11 Yesterday
G4 2115 · FLL → MEM
departs 5:20 PM ET · arrives 6:49 PM CT
Forecast issued Sun 10:00 PM ET · 5h after departure
Watch this flight
Odds over time
Arrive at MEM more than 15 minutes late?
44%
chance · ±1 pts
−2 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.
Arrive 15+ late
44%
Leave 15+ late
43%
Arrive 1h+ late
21%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
25%
50%
75%
100%
6.7d
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at MEM more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 44% · changed −2 pts in 24h
−2 pts
44%
Yes 44%
No 56%
Leave FLL more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 43% · changed −4 pts in 24h
−4 pts
43%
Yes 43%
No 57%
Arrive at MEM more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 21% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
21%
Yes 21%
No 79%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to MEM?
On time or early
56%
15–30 min late
13%
30 min–1 hour late
9%
1–2 hours late
15%
Over 2 hours late
6%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
G4's recent on-time record
↑
5pm departures from FLL are often late
↑
This flight has been late 28% of the time recently
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at MEM
↓
Sundays in October are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
FLL (origin)
Gusts 13 kt Ceiling 3,000 ft Visibility 4 mi Precip 1.18 in
MEM (destination)
Gusts 8 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.