Schedule: the flights that flew on Sunday, Oct 4, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
ALLEGIANT · FLIGHT G4 2131
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Sunday, October 11 Yesterday
G4 2131 · RFD → FLL
departs 10:08 AM CT · arrives 2:16 PM ET
Forecast issued Sun 10:00 PM ET · 11h after departure
Watch this flight
Odds over time
Arrive at FLL more than 15 minutes late?
26%
chance · ±0 pts
−18 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.
Arrive 15+ late
26%
Leave 15+ late
22%
Arrive 1h+ late
12%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
6.5d
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at FLL more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 26% · changed −18 pts in 24h
−18 pts
26%
Yes 26%
No 74%
Leave RFD more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 22% · changed −6 pts in 24h
−6 pts
22%
Yes 22%
No 78%
Arrive at FLL more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 12% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
12%
Yes 12%
No 88%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to FLL?
On time or early
73%
15–30 min late
11%
30 min–1 hour late
3%
1–2 hours late
8%
Over 2 hours late
4%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
G4's recent on-time record
↑
2.2 in of rain forecast at FLL that day
↑
FLL is prone to delays
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at RFD
↓
Early flights usually leave on time
Weather at each end
RFD (origin)
Gusts 10 kt
Ceiling none (clear)
Visibility 10+ mi
Precip none
FLL (destination)
Gusts 13 kt
Ceiling 3,000 ft
Visibility 4 mi
Precip 1.18 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.