Schedule: the flights that flew on Sunday, Oct 4, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
ALLEGIANT · FLIGHT G4 2136
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Sunday, October 11 Yesterday
G4 2136 · FLL → TYS
departs 6:21 PM ET · arrives 8:31 PM ET
Forecast issued Sun 10:00 PM ET · 4h after departure
Watch this flight
Odds over time
Arrive at TYS more than 15 minutes late?
46%
chance · ±0 pts
−4 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.
Arrive 15+ late
46%
Leave 15+ late
43%
Arrive 1h+ late
19%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
25%
50%
75%
100%
6.8d
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Now
Arrive at TYS more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 46% · changed −4 pts in 24h
−4 pts
46%
Yes 46%
No 54%
Leave FLL more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 44% · changed −4 pts in 24h
−4 pts
43%
Yes 43%
No 57%
Arrive at TYS more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 19% · changed −2 pts in 24h
−2 pts
19%
Yes 19%
No 81%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to TYS?
On time or early
54%
15–30 min late
7%
30 min–1 hour late
19%
1–2 hours late
14%
Over 2 hours late
6%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
G4's recent on-time record
↑
6pm departures from FLL are often late
↑
This flight has been late 35% of the time recently
↓
Sundays in October are usually quieter than average
↓
TYS usually runs smoothly
Weather at each end
FLL (origin)
Gusts 13 kt Ceiling 3,000 ft Visibility 4 mi Precip 1.18 in
TYS (destination)
Gusts 14 kt Ceiling 800 ft Visibility 1.5 mi Precip 0.04 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.