Schedule: the flights that flew on Sunday, Oct 4, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
ALLEGIANT · FLIGHT G4 2141
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Sunday, October 11 Yesterday
G4 2141 · FLL → SWF
departs 7:50 AM ET · arrives 11:11 AM ET
Forecast issued Sun 10:00 PM ET · 14h after departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Sun 10/11
Thu 10/15 32%
Odds over time
Arrive at SWF more than 15 minutes late?
21%
chance · ±0 pts
−3 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.
Arrive 15+ late
21%
Leave 15+ late
16%
Arrive 1h+ late
9%
Cancelled
2%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
6.3d
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at SWF more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 21% · changed −3 pts in 24h
−3 pts
21%
Yes 21%
No 79%
Leave FLL more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 16% · changed +2 pts in 24h
+2 pts
16%
Yes 16%
No 84%
Arrive at SWF more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 9% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
9%
Yes 9%
No 91%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: 2% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
2%
Yes 2%
No 98%
How late will it get to SWF?
On time or early
78%
15–30 min late
6%
30 min–1 hour late
5%
1–2 hours late
5%
Over 2 hours late
4%
Cancelled
2%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
2.2 in of rain forecast at FLL that day
↑
G4's recent on-time record
↑
FLL is prone to delays
↓
Early flights usually leave on time
↓
7am departures from FLL are usually not late
Weather at each end
FLL (origin)
Gusts 13 kt Ceiling 3,000 ft Visibility 4 mi Precip 1.18 in
SWF (destination)
Gusts 15 kt Ceiling 500 ft Visibility 2 mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.