Schedule: the flights that flew on Sunday, Oct 4, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
ALLEGIANT · FLIGHT G4 2142
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Sunday, October 11 Yesterday
G4 2142 · FLL → PBG
departs 3:32 PM ET · arrives 6:51 PM ET
Forecast issued Sun 10:00 PM ET · 6h after departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Sun 10/11
Fri 10/16 46%
Odds over time
Arrive at PBG more than 15 minutes late?
38%
chance · ±0 pts
−3 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.
Arrive 15+ late
38%
Leave 15+ late
42%
Arrive 1h+ late
15%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
25%
50%
75%
100%
6.6d
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at PBG more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 38% · changed −3 pts in 24h
−3 pts
38%
Yes 38%
No 62%
Leave FLL more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 42% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
42%
Yes 42%
No 58%
Arrive at PBG more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 15% · changed −3 pts in 24h
−3 pts
15%
Yes 15%
No 85%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to PBG?
On time or early
61%
15–30 min late
11%
30 min–1 hour late
13%
1–2 hours late
10%
Over 2 hours late
5%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
G4's recent on-time record
↑
This flight has been late 42% of the time recently
↑
3pm departures from FLL are often late
↓
Sundays in October are usually quieter than average
↓
PBG usually runs smoothly
Weather at each end
FLL (origin)
Gusts 13 kt
Ceiling 3,000 ft
Visibility 4 mi
Precip 1.18 in
PBG (destination)
Gusts 19 kt
Ceiling 3,660 ft
Visibility 9.2 mi
Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.