Schedule: the flights that flew on Sunday, Oct 4, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
ALLEGIANT · FLIGHT G4 2152
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Sunday, October 11 Yesterday
G4 2152 · SWF → FLL
departs 11:48 AM ET · arrives 3:14 PM ET
Forecast issued Sun 10:00 PM ET · 10h after departure
Watch this flight
Odds over time
Arrive at FLL more than 15 minutes late?
41%
chance · ±0 pts
−11 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.
Arrive 15+ late
41%
Leave 15+ late
34%
Arrive 1h+ late
14%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
6.5d
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at FLL more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 41% · changed −11 pts in 24h
−11 pts
41%
Yes 41%
No 59%
Leave SWF more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 34% · changed −4 pts in 24h
−4 pts
34%
Yes 34%
No 66%
Arrive at FLL more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 14% · changed −6 pts in 24h
−6 pts
14%
Yes 14%
No 86%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to FLL?
On time or early
58%
15–30 min late
22%
30 min–1 hour late
5%
1–2 hours late
8%
Over 2 hours late
6%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
G4's recent on-time record
↑
FLL is prone to delays
↑
Cloud base down to 500 ft, visibility down to 1 mi, 1.1 in of rain forecast at SWF that day
↓
SWF is quiet at that time
↓
Other factors
Weather at each end
SWF (origin)
Gusts 15 kt Ceiling 500 ft Visibility 2 mi Precip none
FLL (destination)
Gusts 13 kt Ceiling 3,000 ft Visibility 4 mi Precip 1.18 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.