Schedule: the flights that flew on Sunday, Oct 4, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
ALLEGIANT · FLIGHT G4 259
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Sunday, October 11 Yesterday
G4 259 · AVL → FLL
departs 8:00 AM ET · arrives 10:04 AM ET
Forecast issued Sun 10:00 PM ET · 14h after departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Sun 10/11
Wed 10/14 10%
Thu 10/15 12%
Odds over time
Arrive at FLL more than 15 minutes late?
28%
chance · ±0 pts
−5 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.
Arrive 15+ late
28%
Leave 15+ late
15%
Arrive 1h+ late
13%
Cancelled
2%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
6.3d
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at FLL more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 28% · changed −5 pts in 24h
−5 pts
28%
Yes 28%
No 72%
Leave AVL more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 15% · changed −14 pts in 24h
−14 pts
15%
Yes 15%
No 85%
Arrive at FLL more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 13% · changed +4 pts in 24h
+4 pts
13%
Yes 13%
No 87%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: 2% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
2%
Yes 2%
No 98%
How late will it get to FLL?
On time or early
70%
15–30 min late
14%
30 min–1 hour late
1%
1–2 hours late
7%
Over 2 hours late
5%
Cancelled
2%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
2.2 in of rain forecast at FLL that day
↑
Cloud base down to 500 ft, visibility down to 1.5 mi, 1.4 in of rain forecast at AVL that day
↑
FLL is prone to delays
↓
Early flights usually leave on time
↓
8am departures from AVL are usually not late
Weather at each end
AVL (origin)
Gusts 19 kt Ceiling 500 ft Visibility 0.75 mi Precip 1.47 in
FLL (destination)
Gusts 13 kt Ceiling 3,000 ft Visibility 4 mi Precip 1.18 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.