G4 27 · MLI → LAS

departs 2:05 PM CT · arrives 3:43 PM PT

Forecast issued Sun 7:00 AM ET · 8h before departure

Arrive at LAS more than 15 minutes late?

33% chance · ±0 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to LAS?

On time or early
66%
15–30 min late
0%
30 min–1 hour late
9%
1–2 hours late
0%
Over 2 hours late
24%
Cancelled
2%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Gusts to 37 kt, visibility down to 2 mi, 1.0 in of rain forecast at LAS that day

↑ LAS is prone to delays

↑ Arrivals into LAS at that hour are often late

↓ MLI usually runs smoothly

↓ Other factors

Weather at each end

MLI (origin) Gusts13 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

LAS (destination) Gusts37 kt Ceiling2,200 ft Visibility2.5 mi Precip1.40 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

G4 27 · MLI → LAS

Odds over time

How late will it get to LAS?