Tracked live by the FAA. The scheduled times shown are from a typical Sunday because the FAA's flight plan was first seen after takeoff.

ALLEGIANT · FLIGHT G4 3474 LANDED 9:17 PM ET, ~95 MIN LATE

Sunday, October 11 Yesterday

G4 3474 · FLL → ACY

took off 7:10 PM ET · landed 9:17 PM ET (scheduled 4:59 PM ET → 7:47 PM ET)

Forecast issued Sun 10:00 PM ET · 5h after departure

Arrive at ACY more than 15 minutes late?

Late chance · ±1 pts −5 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late did it get to ACY?

RESOLVED

On time or early
–
15–30 min late
–
30 min–1 hour late
–
1–2 hours late
✓
Over 2 hours late
–

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Gusts to 32 kt, cloud base down to 200 ft, visibility down to 0.5 mi, 2.4 in of rain forecast at ACY that day

↑ G4's recent on-time record

↑ 4pm departures from FLL are often late

↓ Sundays in October are usually quieter than average

↓ ACY usually runs smoothly

Weather at each end

FLL (origin) Gusts13 kt Ceiling3,000 ft Visibility4 mi Precip1.18 in

ACY (destination) Gusts33 kt Ceiling160 ft Visibility0.5 mi Precip1.99 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

G4 3474 · FLL → ACY

Odds over time

How late did it get to ACY?