Schedule: the flights that flew on Sunday, Oct 4, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
ALLEGIANT · FLIGHT G4 4335
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Sunday, October 11 Yesterday
G4 4335 · OGD → LAS
departs 6:45 AM MT · arrives 7:20 AM PT
Forecast issued Sun 10:00 PM ET · 13h after departure
Watch this flight
Odds over time
Arrive at LAS more than 15 minutes late?
37%
chance · ±0 pts
−10 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.
Arrive 15+ late
37%
Leave 15+ late
35%
Arrive 1h+ late
21%
Cancelled
10%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
6.4d
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at LAS more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 37% · changed −10 pts in 24h
−10 pts
37%
Yes 37%
No 63%
Leave OGD more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 35% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
35%
Yes 35%
No 65%
Arrive at LAS more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 21% · changed −11 pts in 24h
−11 pts
21%
Yes 21%
No 79%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: 10% · changed +2 pts in 24h
+2 pts
10%
Yes 10%
No 90%
How late will it get to LAS?
On time or early
57%
15–30 min late
9%
30 min–1 hour late
5%
1–2 hours late
4%
Over 2 hours late
15%
Cancelled
10%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Gusts to 37 kt, visibility down to 2 mi, 1.0 in of rain forecast at LAS that day
↑
LAS is prone to delays
↑
Gusts to 30 kt, 1.0 in of rain forecast at OGD that day
↓
Early flights usually leave on time
↓
Arrivals into LAS at that hour are usually not late
Weather at each end
OGD (origin)
Gusts 35 kt
Ceiling 400 ft
Visibility 2.5 mi
Precip 1.26 in
LAS (destination)
Gusts 34 kt
Ceiling 600 ft
Visibility 2.5 mi
Precip 1.04 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.