G4 483 · FLL → SYR

took off 7:18 AM ET · landed 9:41 AM ET (scheduled 7:00 AM ET → 10:01 AM ET)

Forecast issued Sun 10:00 PM ET · 15h after departure

Arrive at SYR more than 15 minutes late?

Not late chance · ±0 pts +1 pt · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late did it get to SYR?

RESOLVED

On time or early
✓
15–30 min late
–
30 min–1 hour late
–
1–2 hours late
–
Over 2 hours late
–

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 2.2 in of rain forecast at FLL that day

↑ G4's recent on-time record

↑ This flight has been late 27% of the time recently

↓ Early flights usually leave on time

↓ 7am departures from FLL are usually not late

Weather at each end

FLL (origin) Gusts13 kt Ceiling3,000 ft Visibility4 mi Precip1.18 in

SYR (destination) Gusts15 kt Ceiling2,900 ft Visibility6 mi Precip0.31 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

G4 483 · FLL → SYR

Odds over time

How late did it get to SYR?