Schedule: the flights that flew on Sunday, Oct 4, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
ALLEGIANT · FLIGHT G4 504
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Sunday, October 11 Yesterday
G4 504 · FLL → TTN
departs 3:14 PM ET · arrives 6:25 PM ET
Forecast issued Sun 10:00 PM ET · 7h after departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Sun 10/11
Fri 10/16 13%
Odds over time
Arrive at TTN more than 15 minutes late?
46%
chance · ±0 pts
−2 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.
Arrive 15+ late
46%
Leave 15+ late
37%
Arrive 1h+ late
22%
Cancelled
3%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
6.6d
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at TTN more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 46% · changed −2 pts in 24h
−2 pts
46%
Yes 46%
No 54%
Leave FLL more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 37% · changed −5 pts in 24h
−5 pts
37%
Yes 37%
No 63%
Arrive at TTN more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 22% · changed −4 pts in 24h
−4 pts
22%
Yes 22%
No 78%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: 3% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
3%
Yes 3%
No 97%
How late will it get to TTN?
On time or early
53%
15–30 min late
15%
30 min–1 hour late
8%
1–2 hours late
14%
Over 2 hours late
7%
Cancelled
3%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 200 ft, visibility down to 0.5 mi, 1.1 in of rain forecast at TTN that day
↑
G4's recent on-time record
↑
3pm departures from FLL are often late
↓
TTN usually runs smoothly
↓
Sundays in October are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
FLL (origin)
Gusts 13 kt Ceiling 3,000 ft Visibility 4 mi Precip 1.18 in
TTN (destination)
Gusts 29 kt Ceiling 600 ft Visibility 1 mi Precip 1.95 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.