Schedule: the flights that flew on Sunday, Oct 4, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
ALLEGIANT · FLIGHT G4 510
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Sunday, October 11 Yesterday
G4 510 · CHA → FLL
departs 9:39 AM ET · arrives 11:46 AM ET
Forecast issued Sun 10:00 PM ET · 12h after departure
Watch this flight
Odds over time
Arrive at FLL more than 15 minutes late?
40%
chance · ±0 pts
+5 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.
Arrive 15+ late
40%
Leave 15+ late
33%
Arrive 1h+ late
17%
Cancelled
2%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
6.4d
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at FLL more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 40% · changed +5 pts in 24h
+5 pts
40%
Yes 40%
No 60%
Leave CHA more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 33% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
33%
Yes 33%
No 67%
Arrive at FLL more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 17% · changed +9 pts in 24h
+9 pts
17%
Yes 17%
No 83%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: 2% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
2%
Yes 2%
No 98%
How late will it get to FLL?
On time or early
59%
15–30 min late
16%
30 min–1 hour late
6%
1–2 hours late
10%
Over 2 hours late
7%
Cancelled
2%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
2.2 in of rain forecast at FLL that day
↑
G4's recent on-time record
↑
FLL is prone to delays
↓
Early flights usually leave on time
↓
9am departures from CHA are usually not late
Weather at each end
CHA (origin)
Gusts 10 kt Ceiling 600 ft Visibility 4 mi Precip 0.07 in
FLL (destination)
Gusts 13 kt Ceiling 3,000 ft Visibility 4 mi Precip 1.18 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.