G4 515 · MEM → FLL

took off 4:34 PM CT · landed 7:41 PM ET (scheduled 2:56 PM CT → 6:27 PM ET)

Forecast issued Sun 10:00 PM ET · 6h after departure

Arrive at FLL more than 15 minutes late?

Late chance · ±0 pts −5 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late did it get to FLL?

RESOLVED

On time or early
–
15–30 min late
–
30 min–1 hour late
–
1–2 hours late
✓
Over 2 hours late
–

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ This flight has been late 34% of the time recently

↑ G4's recent on-time record

↑ Arrivals into FLL at that hour are often late

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at MEM

↓ Sundays in October are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

MEM (origin) Gusts8 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

FLL (destination) Gusts13 kt Ceiling3,000 ft Visibility4 mi Precip1.18 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

G4 515 · MEM → FLL

Odds over time

How late did it get to FLL?