Schedule: the flights that flew on Sunday, Oct 4, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
ALLEGIANT · FLIGHT G4 522
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Sunday, October 11 Yesterday
G4 522 · TTN → FLL
departs 7:05 PM ET · arrives 9:49 PM ET
Forecast issued Sun 10:00 PM ET · 3h after departure
Watch this flight
Odds over time
Arrive at FLL more than 15 minutes late?
64%
chance · ±0 pts
+5 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.
Arrive 15+ late
64%
Leave 15+ late
55%
Arrive 1h+ late
30%
Cancelled
6%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
6.8d
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at FLL more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 63% · changed +5 pts in 24h
+5 pts
64%
Yes 64%
No 36%
Leave TTN more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 54% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
55%
Yes 55%
No 45%
Arrive at FLL more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 30% · changed −5 pts in 24h
−5 pts
30%
Yes 30%
No 70%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: 6% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
6%
Yes 6%
No 94%
How late will it get to FLL?
On time or early
34%
15–30 min late
14%
30 min–1 hour late
18%
1–2 hours late
16%
Over 2 hours late
12%
Cancelled
6%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Gusts to 29 kt, cloud base down to 200 ft, visibility down to 0.5 mi, 2.5 in of rain forecast at TTN that day
↑
G4's recent on-time record
↑
FLL is prone to delays
↓
Sundays in October are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
TTN (origin)
Gusts 29 kt Ceiling 600 ft Visibility 1 mi Precip 1.95 in
FLL (destination)
Gusts 13 kt Ceiling 3,000 ft Visibility 4 mi Precip 1.18 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.