G4 523 · ROC → FLL

took off 9:13 PM ET · landed 12:00 AM ET (scheduled 8:23 PM ET → 11:37 PM ET)

Forecast issued Sun 10:00 PM ET · 2h after departure

Arrive at FLL more than 15 minutes late?

Late chance · ±2 pts +1 pt · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late did it get to FLL?

RESOLVED

On time or early
–
15–30 min late
✓
30 min–1 hour late
–
1–2 hours late
–
Over 2 hours late
–

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ G4's recent on-time record

↑ Arrivals into FLL at that hour are often late

↑ This flight has been late 55% of the time recently

↓ 1.2 in of rain forecast at FLL that day

↓ ROC usually runs smoothly

Weather at each end

ROC (origin) Gusts20 kt Ceiling2,100 ft Visibility4 mi Precip0.10 in

FLL (destination) Gusts13 kt Ceiling3,000 ft Visibility4 mi Precip1.18 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

G4 523 · ROC → FLL

Odds over time

How late did it get to FLL?