Schedule: the flights that flew on Sunday, Oct 4, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
ALLEGIANT · FLIGHT G4 80
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Sunday, October 11 Today
G4 80 · MLI → LAS
departs 2:00 PM CT · arrives 3:33 PM PT
Forecast issued Sun 6:00 AM ET · 9h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today
Thu 10/15 13%
Odds over time
Arrive at LAS more than 15 minutes late?
44%
chance · ±0 pts
−19 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
44%
Leave 15+ late
46%
Arrive 1h+ late
27%
Cancelled
2%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
25%
50%
75%
100%
6.6d
2d
1d
Now
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at LAS more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 17% · changed −19 pts in 24h
−19 pts
44%
Yes 44%
No 56%
Leave MLI more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 32% · changed −11 pts in 24h
−11 pts
46%
Yes 46%
No 54%
Arrive at LAS more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 10% · changed −16 pts in 24h
−16 pts
27%
Yes 27%
No 73%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed −5 pts in 24h
−5 pts
2%
Yes 2%
No 98%
How late will it get to LAS?
On time or early
55%
15–30 min late
0%
30 min–1 hour late
16%
1–2 hours late
0%
Over 2 hours late
27%
Cancelled
2%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Gusts to 37 kt, visibility down to 2 mi, 1.0 in of rain forecast at LAS that day
↑
LAS is prone to delays
↑
Arrivals into LAS at that hour are often late
↓
MLI usually runs smoothly
↓
Other factors
Weather at each end
MLI (origin)
Gusts 13 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
LAS (destination)
Gusts 37 kt Ceiling 2,700 ft Visibility 3 mi Precip 0.87 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.