G4 99 · SCK → LAS

departs 10:25 AM PT · arrives 11:56 AM PT

Forecast issued Sun 10:00 AM ET · 3h before departure

Arrive at LAS more than 15 minutes late?

65% chance · ±0 pts −4 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

How late will it get to LAS?

On time or early
34%
15–30 min late
8%
30 min–1 hour late
10%
1–2 hours late
30%
Over 2 hours late
14%
Cancelled
4%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Gusts to 37 kt, visibility down to 2 mi, 1.0 in of rain forecast at LAS that day

↑ LAS is prone to delays

↑ G4's recent on-time record

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at SCK

↓ 10am departures from SCK are usually not late

Weather at each end

SCK (origin) Gusts13 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

LAS (destination) Gusts35 kt Ceiling600 ft Visibility2.5 mi Precip1.88 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

G4 99 · SCK → LAS

Odds over time

How late will it get to LAS?