G7 4194 · EWR → YOW

took off 8:01 AM ET · landed 8:58 AM EDT (scheduled 7:27 AM ET → 9:04 AM EDT)

Forecast issued Sun 7:00 AM ET · 0h before departure

Arrive at YOW more than 15 minutes late?

Not late chance · ±1 pts +9 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late did it get to YOW?

RESOLVED

On time or early
✓
15–30 min late
–
30 min–1 hour late
–
1–2 hours late
–
Over 2 hours late
–

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Gusts to 30 kt, cloud base down to 400 ft, visibility down to 1 mi, 1.1 in of rain forecast at EWR that day

↑ EWR is prone to delays

↑ This route's recent record

↓ Early flights usually leave on time

↓ Arrivals into YOW at that hour are usually not late

Weather at each end

EWR (origin) Gusts30 kt Ceiling500 ft Visibility0.8 mi Precip1.01 in

YOW (destination) Gusts17 kt Ceiling3,500 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

G7 4194 · EWR → YOW

Odds over time

How late did it get to YOW?