G7 4417 · EWR → BUF

departs 8:46 AM ET · arrives 10:13 AM ET

Your aircraft is N587GJ (CRJ7), coming in as G7 4439 from GSO: landed 7:12 AM ET.

Forecast issued Sun 6:00 AM ET · 3h before departure

Arrive at BUF more than 15 minutes late?

17% chance · ±0 pts +1 pt · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

How late will it get to BUF?

On time or early
81%
15–30 min late
0%
30 min–1 hour late
13%
1–2 hours late
1%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
2%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Gusts to 30 kt, cloud base down to 400 ft, visibility down to 1 mi, 1.1 in of rain forecast at EWR that day

↑ EWR is prone to delays

↑ EWR is busy at that time

↓ Early flights usually leave on time

↓ BUF usually runs smoothly

Weather at each end

EWR (origin) Gusts30 kt Ceiling500 ft Visibility1 mi Precip1.03 in

BUF (destination) Gusts9 kt Ceiling1,500 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.05 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

G7 4417 · EWR → BUF

Odds over time

How late will it get to BUF?