G7 4478 · EWR → PIT

took off 11:45 AM ET · expected to land 12:35 PM ET (scheduled 11:29 AM ET → 12:55 PM ET)

Forecast issued Sun 10:00 AM ET · 2h before departure

Arrive at PIT more than 15 minutes late?

<1% chance · ±0 pts +6 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

How late will it get to PIT?

LIVE

On time or early
100%
15–30 min late
<1%
30 min–1 hour late
0%
1–2 hours late
0%
Over 2 hours late
0%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%; while it’s in the air they come from the FAA’s arrival estimate.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Gusts to 30 kt, cloud base down to 400 ft, visibility down to 1 mi, 1.1 in of rain forecast at EWR that day

↑ Cloud base down to 400 ft, visibility down to 2 mi, 2.1 in of rain forecast at PIT that day

↑ EWR is prone to delays

↓ PIT usually runs smoothly

↓ Sundays in October are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

EWR (origin) Gusts29 kt Ceiling300 ft Visibility0.5 mi Precip1.12 in

PIT (destination) Gusts30 kt Ceiling400 ft Visibility1.5 mi Precip2.83 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

G7 4478 · EWR → PIT

Odds over time

How late will it get to PIT?