G7 4572 · HSV → IAH

took off 6:54 AM CT · landed 8:20 AM CT (scheduled 6:44 AM CT → 8:43 AM CT)

Forecast issued Sun 7:00 AM ET · 1h before departure

Arrive at IAH more than 15 minutes late?

Not late chance · ±2 pts +2 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late did it get to IAH?

RESOLVED

On time or early
✓
15–30 min late
–
30 min–1 hour late
–
1–2 hours late
–
Over 2 hours late
–

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 400 ft, 0.3 in of rain forecast at HSV that day

↑ This route's recent record

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at IAH

↓ Early flights usually leave on time

Weather at each end

HSV (origin) Gusts19 kt Ceiling400 ft Visibility5 mi Precip0.19 in

IAH (destination) Gusts19 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

G7 4572 · HSV → IAH

Odds over time

How late did it get to IAH?