G7 4618 · IAH → HSV

took off 10:31 AM CT · landed 11:52 AM CT (scheduled 9:56 AM CT → 11:50 AM CT)

Forecast issued Sun 10:00 PM ET · 11h after departure

Arrive at HSV more than 15 minutes late?

Not late chance · ±0 pts +0 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late did it get to HSV?

RESOLVED

On time or early
✓
15–30 min late
–
30 min–1 hour late
–
1–2 hours late
–
Over 2 hours late
–

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ IAH is busy at that time

↑ Cloud base down to 400 ft, 0.3 in of rain forecast at HSV that day

↑ 9am departures from IAH are often late

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at IAH

↓ HSV usually runs smoothly

Weather at each end

IAH (origin) Gusts20 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

HSV (destination) Gusts20 kt Ceiling400 ft Visibility5 mi Precip0.17 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

G7 4618 · IAH → HSV

Odds over time

How late did it get to HSV?