Schedule: FAA flight plans.

JAPAN AIRLINES · FLIGHT JL 4 IN THE AIR (OFF 8:07 PM JST, SEEN BY ADS-B, ETA 6:58 PM ET)
Yesterday

JL 4 · HND → JFK

took off 8:07 PM JST · expected to land 6:58 PM ET (scheduled 7:35 PM JST → 6:33 PM ET)
Forecast issued Sun 11:00 AM ET · 4h after departure

Odds over time

Arrive at JFK more than 15 minutes late?
98% chance · ±0 pts −2 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.
MOSTLY HISTORY WEATHER FORECASTS LIVE IN THE AIR 0% 25% 50% 75% 100% 5.4d 2d 1d 12h 6h Departs Now Lands

How late will it get to JFK?

LIVE
  1. On time or early
    2%
  2. 15–30 min late
    25%
  3. 30 min–1 hour late
    73%
  4. 1–2 hours late
    <1%
  5. Over 2 hours late
    0%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%; while it’s in the air they come from the FAA’s arrival estimate.