Tracked live by the FAA. The scheduled times shown are from a typical Sunday because the FAA's flight plan was first seen after takeoff.

KOREAN AIR · FLIGHT KE 214 IN THE AIR (OFF 3:56 AM PT, ETA 7:11 AM KST)

Sunday, October 11 Today

KE 214 · SFO → ICN

took off 3:56 AM PT · expected to land 7:11 AM KST (scheduled 4:01 AM PT → 7:46 AM KST)

Forecast issued Sun 6:00 AM ET · 1h before departure

Arrive at ICN more than 15 minutes late?

0% chance · ±0 pts +3 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late will it get to ICN?

LIVE

On time or early
100%
15–30 min late
0%
30 min–1 hour late
0%
1–2 hours late
0%
Over 2 hours late
0%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%; while it’s in the air they come from the FAA’s arrival estimate.

What’s moving the odds

↑ This route's recent record

↑ 4am departures from SFO are often late

↑ SFO is busy at that time

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at SFO

↓ Early flights usually leave on time

Weather at each end

SFO (origin) Gusts16 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

ICN (destination) Gusts8 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

KE 214 · SFO → ICN

Odds over time

How late will it get to ICN?