KE 42 · SEA → ICN

took off 1:39 PM PT · expected to land 4:49 PM KST (scheduled 1:08 PM PT → 5:58 PM KST)

Forecast issued Sun 10:00 PM ET · 6h after departure

Arrive at ICN more than 15 minutes late?

0% chance · ±0 pts +1 pt · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late will it get to ICN?

LIVE

On time or early
100%
15–30 min late
0%
30 min–1 hour late
0%
1–2 hours late
0%
Over 2 hours late
0%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%; while it’s in the air they come from the FAA’s arrival estimate.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 1pm departures from SEA are often late

↑ This route's recent record

↑ SEA is busy at that time

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at SEA

↓ ICN usually runs smoothly

Weather at each end

SEA (origin) Gusts21 kt Ceiling10,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

ICN (destination) Gusts— Ceiling— Visibility— Precip—

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

KE 42 · SEA → ICN

Odds over time

How late will it get to ICN?