Schedule: FAA flight plans.

LATAM · FLIGHT LA 538 IN THE AIR (OFF 1:02 PM -05, SEEN BY ADS-B, ETA 8:54 PM ET)
Today

LA 538 · LIM → JFK

took off 1:02 PM -05 · expected to land 8:54 PM ET (scheduled 12:25 PM -05 → 8:43 PM ET)
Forecast issued Sun 6:00 PM ET · 5h after departure

Odds over time

Arrive at JFK more than 15 minutes late?
81% chance · ±0 pts +10 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.
MOSTLY HISTORY WEATHER FORECASTS LIVE IN THE AIR 0% 25% 50% 75% 100% 5.7d 2d 1d 12h 6h Departs Lands

How late will it get to JFK?

LIVE
  1. On time or early
    19%
  2. 15–30 min late
    54%
  3. 30 min–1 hour late
    26%
  4. 1–2 hours late
    <1%
  5. Over 2 hours late
    0%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%; while it’s in the air they come from the FAA’s arrival estimate.