Schedule: FAA flight plans.

LUFTHANSA · FLIGHT LH 404 IN THE AIR (OFF 5:39 PM CEST, ETA 8:16 PM ET)
Yesterday

LH 404 · FRA → JFK

took off 5:39 PM CEST · expected to land 8:16 PM ET (scheduled 5:15 PM CEST → 8:22 PM ET)
Forecast issued Sun 6:00 PM ET · 7h after departure

Odds over time

Arrive at JFK more than 15 minutes late?
19% chance · ±0 pts +0 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.
MOSTLY HISTORY WEATHER FORECASTS LIVE IN THE AIR 0% 25% 50% 75% 100% 5.6d 2d 1d 12h 6h Departs Lands

How late will it get to JFK?

LIVE
  1. On time or early
    81%
  2. 15–30 min late
    18%
  3. 30 min–1 hour late
    <1%
  4. 1–2 hours late
    0%
  5. Over 2 hours late
    0%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%; while it’s in the air they come from the FAA’s arrival estimate.