MQ 3992 · BUR → PHX

departs 10:14 AM PT · arrives 11:51 AM MT

Your aircraft is N209NN (E170), coming in as MQ 3992 from PHX: in the air, landing about 9:34 AM PT, 36 min before departure.

Forecast issued Sun 10:00 AM ET · 3h before departure

Arrive at PHX more than 15 minutes late?

45% chance · ±0 pts +4 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

How late will it get to PHX?

On time or early
52%
15–30 min late
17%
30 min–1 hour late
13%
1–2 hours late
8%
Over 2 hours late
5%
Cancelled
5%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Gusts to 35 kt forecast at PHX that day

↑ Gusts to 25 kt forecast at BUR that day

↑ BUR is prone to delays

↓ 10am departures from BUR are usually not late

↓ Early flights usually leave on time

Weather at each end

BUR (origin) Gusts24 kt Ceiling3,500 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

PHX (destination) Gusts32 kt Ceiling6,500 ft Visibility2 mi Precip1.23 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

MQ 3992 · BUR → PHX

Odds over time

How late will it get to PHX?