tailodds FORECAST

Schedule: the flights that flew on Sunday, Oct 4, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

ENVOY · FLIGHT MQ 4025 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL ODDS

MQ 4025 · ORD → SAW

departs 7:16 PM CT · arrives 4:38 AM +03
Forecast issued Mon 8:00 PM ET · 144h before departure

Typical odds Too early for a weather forecast — these are typical odds for this flight on a Sunday in October, from the weather this date has had in past years (the range shows how much they varied). They’ll switch to forecast-based odds about 3 days before departure.

Arrive at SAW more than 15 minutes late?
41% chance · ±40 pts −2 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE Low. This is mostly a starting point from history; weather forecasts haven't kicked in yet.
MOSTLY HISTORY WEATHER FORECASTS LIVE IN THE AIR 0% 25% 50% 75% 100% Now 2d 1d 12h 6h Departs Lands

How late will it get to SAW?

  1. On time or early
    57%
  2. 15–30 min late
    15%
  3. 30 min–1 hour late
    13%
  4. 1–2 hours late
    8%
  5. Over 2 hours late
    3%
  6. Cancelled
    4%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.