MQ 4202 · MTY → DFW

took off 7:28 AM CST · landed 9:47 AM CT (scheduled 7:30 AM CST → 10:25 AM CT)

Forecast issued Sun 11:00 AM ET · 2h after departure

Arrive at DFW more than 15 minutes late?

Not late chance · ±1 pts +4 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late did it get to DFW?

RESOLVED

On time or early
✓
15–30 min late
–
30 min–1 hour late
–
1–2 hours late
–
Over 2 hours late
–

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ This route's recent record

↑ DFW is busy at that time

↑ MTY is busy at that time

↓ Gusts to 26 kt forecast at DFW that day

↓ Early flights usually leave on time

Weather at each end

MTY (origin) Gusts17 kt Ceiling11,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

DFW (destination) Gusts25 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

MQ 4202 · MTY → DFW

Odds over time

How late did it get to DFW?