MX 1434 · CAK → LAS

took off 10:17 AM ET · landed 11:31 AM PT (scheduled 9:42 AM ET → 11:21 AM PT)

Forecast issued Sun 1:00 PM ET · 3h after departure

Arrive at LAS more than 15 minutes late?

Not late chance · ±0 pts −19 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late did it get to LAS?

RESOLVED

On time or early
✓
15–30 min late
–
30 min–1 hour late
–
1–2 hours late
–
Over 2 hours late
–

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Gusts to 37 kt, visibility down to 2 mi, 1.0 in of rain forecast at LAS that day

↑ LAS is prone to delays

↑ Cloud base down to 600 ft, 0.3 in of rain forecast at CAK that day

↓ CAK usually runs smoothly

↓ Other factors

Weather at each end

CAK (origin) Gusts26 kt Ceiling1,000 ft Visibility1 mi Precip0.25 in

LAS (destination) Gusts35 kt Ceiling600 ft Visibility2.5 mi Precip1.11 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

MX 1434 · CAK → LAS

Odds over time

How late did it get to LAS?