MX 1566 · GJT → LAS

departs 1:10 PM MT · arrives 1:45 PM PT

Forecast issued Sun 1:00 PM ET · 2h before departure

Arrive at LAS more than 15 minutes late?

78% chance · ±0 pts −14 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

How late will it get to LAS?

On time or early
21%
15–30 min late
20%
30 min–1 hour late
11%
1–2 hours late
29%
Over 2 hours late
16%
Cancelled
4%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Gusts to 35 kt, cloud base down to 600 ft, visibility down to 2.5 mi, 1.1 in of rain forecast at LAS that day

↑ LAS is prone to delays

↑ Arrivals into LAS at that hour are often late

↓ 1pm departures from GJT are usually not late

Weather at each end

GJT (origin) Gusts32 kt Ceiling6,500 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.10 in

LAS (destination) Gusts35 kt Ceiling600 ft Visibility2.5 mi Precip1.11 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

MX 1566 · GJT → LAS

Odds over time

How late will it get to LAS?