MX 1655 · MCO → MYR

took off 7:56 AM ET · landed 8:58 AM ET (scheduled 7:15 AM ET → 8:51 AM ET)

Forecast issued Sun 7:00 AM ET · 0h before departure

Arrive at MYR more than 15 minutes late?

Not late chance · ±2 pts +0 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late did it get to MYR?

RESOLVED

On time or early
✓
15–30 min late
–
30 min–1 hour late
–
1–2 hours late
–
Over 2 hours late
–

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 400 ft, 0.6 in of rain forecast at MYR that day

↑ Mostly benign weather forecast at MCO

↑ MX's recent on-time record

↓ Early flights usually leave on time

↓ Arrivals into MYR at that hour are usually not late

Weather at each end

MCO (origin) Gusts16 kt Ceiling7,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.15 in

MYR (destination) Gusts22 kt Ceiling400 ft Visibility6 mi Precip0.35 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

MX 1655 · MCO → MYR

Odds over time

How late did it get to MYR?