MX 1753 · MCO → CAK

took off 12:43 PM ET · expected to land 2:37 PM ET (scheduled 11:14 AM ET → 1:38 PM ET)

Forecast issued Sun 1:00 PM ET · 2h after departure

Arrive at CAK more than 15 minutes late?

100% chance · ±0 pts +2 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late will it get to CAK?

LIVE

On time or early
0%
15–30 min late
<1%
30 min–1 hour late
32%
1–2 hours late
68%
Over 2 hours late
0%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%; while it’s in the air they come from the FAA’s arrival estimate.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Mostly benign weather forecast at MCO

↑ Cloud base down to 600 ft, 0.3 in of rain forecast at CAK that day

↑ This route's recent record

↓ CAK usually runs smoothly

↓ Early flights usually leave on time

Weather at each end

MCO (origin) Gusts12 kt Ceiling3,300 ft Visibility8 mi Precip0.05 in

CAK (destination) Gusts26 kt Ceiling1,000 ft Visibility1 mi Precip0.25 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

MX 1753 · MCO → CAK

Odds over time

How late will it get to CAK?