MX 217 · EWR → CRW

took off 12:34 PM ET · landed 1:51 PM ET (scheduled 12:28 PM ET → 2:09 PM ET)

Forecast issued Sun 2:00 PM ET · 2h after departure

Arrive at CRW more than 15 minutes late?

Not late chance · ±5 pts +0 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late did it get to CRW?

RESOLVED

On time or early
✓
15–30 min late
–
30 min–1 hour late
–
1–2 hours late
–
Over 2 hours late
–

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Gusts to 29 kt, cloud base down to 500 ft, visibility down to 1 mi, 1.3 in of rain forecast at EWR that day

↑ EWR is prone to delays

↑ Cloud base down to 200 ft, visibility down to 0.5 mi, 1.8 in of rain forecast at CRW that day

↓ Sundays in October are usually quieter than average

↓ CRW usually runs smoothly

Weather at each end

EWR (origin) Gusts26 kt Ceiling400 ft Visibility1 mi Precip1.56 in

CRW (destination) Gusts14 kt Ceiling300 ft Visibility2 mi Precip1.39 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

MX 217 · EWR → CRW

Odds over time

How late did it get to CRW?