MX 267 · HSV → MCO

departs 9:53 AM CT · arrives 12:42 PM ET

Forecast issued Sun 7:00 AM ET · 4h before departure

Arrive at MCO more than 15 minutes late?

30% chance · ±0 pts −2 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

How late will it get to MCO?

On time or early
68%
15–30 min late
4%
30 min–1 hour late
19%
1–2 hours late
3%
Over 2 hours late
4%
Cancelled
2%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Mostly benign weather forecast at MCO

↑ Cloud base down to 400 ft, 0.3 in of rain forecast at HSV that day

↑ HSV is prone to delays

↓ 9am departures from HSV are usually not late

↓ Early flights usually leave on time

Weather at each end

HSV (origin) Gusts19 kt Ceiling400 ft Visibility5 mi Precip0.19 in

MCO (destination) Gusts16 kt Ceiling7,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.15 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

MX 267 · HSV → MCO

Odds over time

How late will it get to MCO?