NH 105 · LAX → HND

took off 1:08 AM PT · expected to land 4:09 AM JST (scheduled 1:00 AM PT → 4:56 AM JST)

Forecast issued Sun 6:00 AM ET · 2h after departure

Arrive at HND more than 15 minutes late?

0% chance · ±0 pts +3 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late will it get to HND?

LIVE

On time or early
100%
15–30 min late
0%
30 min–1 hour late
0%
1–2 hours late
0%
Over 2 hours late
0%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%; while it’s in the air they come from the FAA’s arrival estimate.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 0.3 in of rain forecast at LAX that day

↑ This route's recent record

↑ 1am departures from LAX are often late

↓ Early flights usually leave on time

↓ Arrivals into HND at that hour are usually not late

Weather at each end

LAX (origin) Gusts21 kt Ceiling3,500 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.19 in

HND (destination) Gusts8 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

NH 105 · LAX → HND

Odds over time

How late will it get to HND?