NH 113 · IAH → HND

took off 11:53 AM CT · expected to land 2:26 PM JST (scheduled 11:35 AM CT → 2:51 PM JST)

Forecast issued Sun 4:00 PM ET · 3h after departure

Arrive at HND more than 15 minutes late?

<1% chance · ±0 pts +1 pt · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late will it get to HND?

LIVE

On time or early
100%
15–30 min late
<1%
30 min–1 hour late
0%
1–2 hours late
0%
Over 2 hours late
0%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%; while it’s in the air they come from the FAA’s arrival estimate.

What’s moving the odds

↑ IAH is busy at that time

↑ This route's recent record

↑ 11am departures from IAH are often late

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at IAH

↓ Arrivals into HND at that hour are usually not late

Weather at each end

IAH (origin) Gusts16 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

HND (destination) Gusts— Ceiling— Visibility— Precip—

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

NH 113 · IAH → HND

Odds over time

How late will it get to HND?