OO 3841 · BUF → DTW

departs 9:10 AM ET · arrives 10:27 AM ET

Your aircraft is N830SK (CRJ9), coming in as OO 3841 from DTW: landed 8:17 AM ET.

Forecast issued Sun 7:00 AM ET · 2h before departure

Arrive at DTW more than 15 minutes late?

24% chance · ±0 pts −6 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

How late will it get to DTW?

On time or early
90%
15–30 min late
0%
30 min–1 hour late
1%
1–2 hours late
5%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ OO's recent on-time record

↑ Cloud base down to 600 ft forecast at DTW that day

↑ DTW is busy at that time

↓ 9am departures from BUF are usually not late

↓ Arrivals into DTW at that hour are usually not late

Weather at each end

BUF (origin) Gusts9 kt Ceiling1,800 ft Visibility6 mi Precip0.05 in

DTW (destination) Gusts12 kt Ceiling500 ft Visibility4 mi Precip0.17 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

OO 3841 · BUF → DTW

Odds over time

How late will it get to DTW?