OO 3944 · LAX → PHX

departs 10:08 AM PT · arrives 11:43 AM MT

Your aircraft is N603CZ (E75S), coming in as OO 3696 from GEG: landed 8:53 AM PT.

Forecast issued Sun 10:00 AM ET · 3h before departure

Arrive at PHX more than 15 minutes late?

48% chance · ±0 pts +6 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

How late will it get to PHX?

On time or early
51%
15–30 min late
6%
30 min–1 hour late
20%
1–2 hours late
12%
Over 2 hours late
9%
Cancelled
2%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Mostly benign weather forecast at LAX

↑ Gusts to 35 kt forecast at PHX that day

↑ 10am departures from LAX are often late

↓ This flight has been late 12% of the time recently

↓ Early flights usually leave on time

Weather at each end

LAX (origin) Gusts20 kt Ceiling3,500 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.06 in

PHX (destination) Gusts32 kt Ceiling6,500 ft Visibility2 mi Precip1.23 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

OO 3944 · LAX → PHX

Odds over time

How late will it get to PHX?