OO 4084 · SLC → ABQ

took off 9:52 AM MT · expected to land 11:05 AM MT (scheduled 9:42 AM MT → 11:33 AM MT)

Forecast issued Sun 11:00 AM ET · 1h before departure

Arrive at ABQ more than 15 minutes late?

<1% chance · ±0 pts −5 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late will it get to ABQ?

LIVE

On time or early
100%
15–30 min late
<1%
30 min–1 hour late
0%
1–2 hours late
0%
Over 2 hours late
0%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%; while it’s in the air they come from the FAA’s arrival estimate.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Gusts to 35 kt, 0.6 in of rain forecast at SLC that day

↑ SLC is busy at that time

↑ Gusts to 40 kt forecast at ABQ that day

↓ This flight has been late 7% of the time recently

↓ SLC usually runs smoothly

Weather at each end

SLC (origin) Gusts35 kt Ceiling4,500 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.50 in

ABQ (destination) Gusts41 kt Ceiling11,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.01 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

OO 4084 · SLC → ABQ

Odds over time

How late will it get to ABQ?