OO 4335 · DTW → PLN

departs 3:55 PM ET · arrives 5:11 PM ET

Your aircraft is N840SK (CRJ9), coming in as OO 3778 from ALB: landed 3:17 PM ET.

Forecast issued Sun 2:00 PM ET · 2h before departure

Arrive at PLN more than 15 minutes late?

46% chance · ±0 pts +13 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

How late will it get to PLN?

On time or early
69%
15–30 min late
14%
30 min–1 hour late
<1%
1–2 hours late
13%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 3pm departures from DTW are often late

↑ Cloud base down to 400 ft, visibility down to 1.5 mi forecast at DTW that day

↑ DTW is busy at that time

↓ PLN usually runs smoothly

↓ DTW usually runs smoothly

Weather at each end

DTW (origin) Gusts8 kt Ceiling400 ft Visibility1.5 mi Precip0.15 in

PLN (destination) Gusts18 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

OO 4335 · DTW → PLN

Odds over time

How late will it get to PLN?