OO 4723 · LAX → SBP

took off 12:28 PM PT · landed 12:58 PM PT (scheduled 9:05 AM PT → 10:14 AM PT)

Forecast issued Sun 10:00 PM ET · 10h after departure

Arrive at SBP more than 15 minutes late?

Late chance · ±0 pts −7 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late did it get to SBP?

RESOLVED

On time or early
–
15–30 min late
–
30 min–1 hour late
–
1–2 hours late
–
Over 2 hours late
✓

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Mostly benign weather forecast at LAX

↑ LAX is busy at that time

↑ SBP is prone to delays

↓ Early flights usually leave on time

↓ This flight has been late 13% of the time recently

Weather at each end

LAX (origin) Gusts23 kt Ceiling1,700 ft Visibility9 mi Precip0.04 in

SBP (destination) Gusts20 kt Ceiling1,700 ft Visibility9 mi Precip0.03 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

OO 4723 · LAX → SBP

Odds over time

How late did it get to SBP?