Schedule: the flights that flew on Sunday, Oct 4, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SKYWEST · FLIGHT OO 4810
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Sunday, October 11 Today
OO 4810 · SGU → PHX
departs 7:56 AM MT · arrives 8:16 AM MT
Forecast issued Sun 11:00 AM ET · 1h after departure
Watch this flight
Odds over time
Arrive at PHX more than 15 minutes late?
38%
chance · ±2 pts
+2 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.
Arrive 15+ late
38%
Leave 15+ late
23%
Arrive 1h+ late
16%
Cancelled
3%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
6.4d
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at PHX more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 34% · changed +2 pts in 24h
+2 pts
38%
Yes 38%
No 62%
Leave SGU more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 22% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
23%
Yes 23%
No 77%
Arrive at PHX more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 17% · changed +2 pts in 24h
+2 pts
16%
Yes 16%
No 84%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: 2% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
3%
Yes 3%
No 97%
How late will it get to PHX?
On time or early
60%
15–30 min late
16%
30 min–1 hour late
6%
1–2 hours late
10%
Over 2 hours late
6%
Cancelled
3%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Gusts to 35 kt forecast at PHX that day
↑
Gusts to 31 kt, visibility down to 0.8 mi, 0.7 in of rain forecast at SGU that day
↑
OO's recent on-time record
↓
Early flights usually leave on time
↓
7am departures from SGU are usually not late
Weather at each end
SGU (origin)
Gusts 31 kt Ceiling 2,700 ft Visibility 1 mi Precip 0.74 in
PHX (destination)
Gusts 32 kt Ceiling 6,500 ft Visibility 2 mi Precip 0.46 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.