Schedule: the flights that flew on Sunday, Oct 4, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SKYWEST · FLIGHT OO 4811
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Sunday, October 11 Today
OO 4811 · PHX → SGU
departs 8:51 AM MT · arrives 11:21 AM MT
Forecast issued Sun 11:00 AM ET · 1h before departure
Watch this flight
Odds over time
Arrive at SGU more than 15 minutes late?
48%
chance · ±5 pts
+10 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.
Arrive 15+ late
48%
Leave 15+ late
27%
Arrive 1h+ late
16%
Cancelled
3%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
6.5d
2d
1d
12h
6h
Now
Departs
Lands
Arrive at SGU more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 42% · changed +10 pts in 24h
+10 pts
48%
Yes 48%
No 52%
Leave PHX more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 28% · changed +3 pts in 24h
+3 pts
27%
Yes 27%
No 73%
Arrive at SGU more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 14% · changed +8 pts in 24h
+8 pts
16%
Yes 16%
No 84%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: 2% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
3%
Yes 3%
No 97%
How late will it get to SGU?
On time or early
50%
15–30 min late
18%
30 min–1 hour late
13%
1–2 hours late
11%
Over 2 hours late
4%
Cancelled
3%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Gusts to 31 kt, visibility down to 0.8 mi, 0.7 in of rain forecast at SGU that day
↑
Gusts to 35 kt forecast at PHX that day
↑
OO's recent on-time record
↓
Early flights usually leave on time
↓
SGU is quiet at that time
Weather at each end
PHX (origin)
Gusts 32 kt Ceiling 6,500 ft Visibility 2 mi Precip 0.46 in
SGU (destination)
Gusts 31 kt Ceiling 2,700 ft Visibility 1 mi Precip 0.74 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.