Schedule: the flights that flew on Sunday, Oct 4, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SKYWEST · FLIGHT OO 4811
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Sunday, October 11 Today
OO 4811 · PHX → SGU
departs 8:51 AM MT · arrives 11:21 AM MT
Forecast issued Sun 10:00 PM ET · 10h after departure
Watch this flight
Odds over time
Arrive at SGU more than 15 minutes late?
45%
chance · ±0 pts
+8 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.
Arrive 15+ late
45%
Leave 15+ late
30%
Arrive 1h+ late
16%
Cancelled
4%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
6.5d
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at SGU more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 45% · changed +8 pts in 24h
+8 pts
45%
Yes 45%
No 55%
Leave PHX more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 30% · changed +9 pts in 24h
+9 pts
30%
Yes 30%
No 70%
Arrive at SGU more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 16% · changed +7 pts in 24h
+7 pts
16%
Yes 16%
No 84%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: 4% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
4%
Yes 4%
No 96%
How late will it get to SGU?
On time or early
53%
15–30 min late
14%
30 min–1 hour late
13%
1–2 hours late
10%
Over 2 hours late
6%
Cancelled
4%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Gusts to 31 kt, visibility down to 0.8 mi, 0.7 in of rain forecast at SGU that day
↑
Gusts to 35 kt forecast at PHX that day
↑
OO's recent on-time record
↓
Early flights usually leave on time
↓
SGU is quiet at that time
Weather at each end
PHX (origin)
Gusts 37 kt Ceiling 6,500 ft Visibility 5 mi Precip 0.27 in
SGU (destination)
Gusts 35 kt Ceiling 3,900 ft Visibility 8 mi Precip 0.31 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.